2012-01-19

The Great Coverup

I have been reading in the media (NYT-1, NYT-2), and in Wikipedia their versions of what “The Great Replacement” means.
They keep babbling about some book published in France with that title, and assert quite clearly that that is what it means.
Well, pardon me, but it means something different to me.
It refers to, not a book or a theory, but reality.
Let's look at what really is reality.
There is a recent (2019-01-10) U.S. government report which gives a statistical examination of the fertility rate for U.S. women in 2017, broken down by race and state.
At the start of that report, the authors define the term: “Total fertility rates,
the expected number of lifetime births per 1,000 women”.
Using that definition, on page 6 of the report we find
the fertility rate for non-Hispanic white women in 2017 was 1,666.5.
Now, let me make an assumption, surely not exactly accurate, but approximately true.
Let us assume that there are an equal number of men and women. Surely not exactly true, but close.
Then that would mean that, for every 2,000 people, there would be, over time, 1,666.5 births.
On a per-person basis, that means 1,666.5/2000 births per person, or approximately .833 births per person, i.e., a replacement rate of .833.

Of course, the fertility rate has changed over the years, and doubtless will change in the future.
But who knows in what direction, and by how much?
What we can do is project, with total, mathematical, accuracy, what that replacement rate means if it stays constant.
(Actually, the situation is even worse than that, because it does not take into account the fact that some women will die before they produce offspring.
So this is, in that respect, a conservative analysis.)
Anyhow, here is what two possible replacement rates would mean for future generations:
(The decimal fractions, of course, represent the fraction of the original population.)


Generation Replacement Rate
.9 .833
1 .9 .833
2 .81 .693889
3 .729 .578009537
4 .6561 .48148194432
5 .59049 .40107445961
6 .531441 .33409502486
7 .4782969 .27830115571
8 .43046721 .2318248627
9 .387420489 .19311011063
10 .3486784401 .16086072215
11 .31381059609 .13399698155
12 .282429536481 .11161948563
13 .25418658283 .09297903153
14 .22876792455 .07745153327
15 .20589113209 .06451712721
16 .18530201888 .05374276696
17 .16677181699 .04476772488
18 .15009463529 .03729151482
19 .13508517176 .03106383185
20 .12157665459 .02587617193
... ... ...
30 .04239115827 .0041624597
... ... ...
40 .01478088294 .00066957627
... ... ...
50 .0051537752 .00010770852

Why is this post titled "The Great Coverup"?
Because those who control mass information flow in this country, such as the MSM and Wikipedia,
have so thoroughly covered up the above figures, or equivalent information,
which show the drastic and frightful consequences for the white race (I'm not afraid to say it) of current reproduction rates.

And as to what reality is:
Reality is that if the current replacement rate is maintained, the table above shows the consequence.
That "if-then" statement is the reality.
And I think people should be aware of that consequence.